Stade de Reims vs Dijon FCO prediction: Stade de Reims to win 2-1 as model gives 54.1% chance
Ligue 2 sees Stade de Reims face Dijon FCO at Stade Auguste Delaune. The model makes Stade de Reims the favourite, assigning a slight 54.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Stade de Reims 54.1%, draw 25%, Dijon FCO 20.9%.
Stade de Reims have generated 1.68 goals per game (1.31x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.05 conceded per game. Dijon FCO average 1.49 scored (1.16x average) and are a steady defence at 1.44 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.1 for Stade de Reims and 1.1 for Dijon FCO.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 62.2%), and both teams are likely to score (59.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Stade de Reims to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 54.1% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.