FC Juárez vs Querétaro prediction: Querétaro to win 0-1 as model gives 45% chance
Liga MX sees FC Juárez face Querétaro at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. The model makes Querétaro the favourite, assigning a slight 45% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is FC Juárez 28.9%, draw 26.1%, Querétaro 45%.
FC Juárez have generated 0.96 goals per game (0.65x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.11 conceded per game. Querétaro average 1.20 scored (0.81x average) and are a steady defence at 1.43 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for FC Juárez and 1.5 for Querétaro.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (52.1%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 1-1, 0-1, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Querétaro to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 45% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.