Waasland-Beveren vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction: Union St.-Gilloise to win 0-2 as model gives 73.3% chance
Belgian Pro League sees Waasland-Beveren face Union St.-Gilloise at Freethielstadion. The model makes Union St.-Gilloise the favourite, assigning a clear 73.3% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Waasland-Beveren 7.9%, draw 18.8%, Union St.-Gilloise 73.3%.
Waasland-Beveren have generated 1.45 goals per game (0.97x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.08 conceded per game. Union St.-Gilloise average 2.30 scored (1.53x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.75 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.8 for Waasland-Beveren and 2.9 for Union St.-Gilloise.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 71.2%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (53.2%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-3, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Union St.-Gilloise to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 73.3% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Bafana's Relebohile Mofokeng is bossing Belgium, and proving Hugo Broos very wrong — Relebohile Mofokeng's flying start in Belgium for Royale Union St. Gilloise (RUSG) has put to rest former South Africa boss Hugo Broos' doubts over whether or not he would be ready for the Jupiler Pro League in the first six months. (ESPN, 2026-09-16)