Antwerp vs Royal Charleroi SC prediction: Royal Charleroi SC to win 0-2 as model gives 60.6% chance
Belgian Pro League sees Antwerp face Royal Charleroi SC at Bosuilstadion. The model makes Royal Charleroi SC the favourite, assigning a clear 60.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Antwerp 14.7%, draw 24.7%, Royal Charleroi SC 60.6%.
Antwerp have generated 1.21 goals per game (0.84x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.88 conceded per game. Royal Charleroi SC average 1.57 scored (1.09x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.03 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Antwerp and 1.8 for Royal Charleroi SC.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (53.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 1-1, 0-2, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Royal Charleroi SC to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 60.6% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.