West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion prediction: West Ham United to win 2-0 as model gives 54.8% chance
Championship sees West Ham United face West Bromwich Albion at London Stadium. The model makes West Ham United the favourite, assigning a slight 54.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is West Ham United 54.8%, draw 25.7%, West Bromwich Albion 19.5%.
West Ham United have generated 2.68 goals per game (1.95x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.23 conceded per game. West Bromwich Albion average 1.21 scored (0.88x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.12 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.5 for West Ham United and 1 for West Bromwich Albion.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 66.4%), and both teams are likely to score (57.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 2-0, 2-1, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: West Ham United to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 54.8% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Nuno Espírito Santo on West Ham loss: We played with 'hesitation' — Nuno Espírito Santo admitted West Ham United's painfully slow start cost them after they crashed to a 3-2 home defeat by Southampton. (ESPN, 2026-10-24)
- Saido Berahino retires: Ex-West Brom, Stoke striker ends career aged 33 — Former West Brom and Stoke City forward Saido Berahino has announced his retirement from football at the age of 33. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)
- Number names: Seven-Seven scores in 77th minute for West Brom — Justin Seven-Seven managed to score in the 77th minute vs. Sutton United, but this statistical goal-scoring quirk has happened before. (ESPN, 2026-10-15)
- West Ham stunned by referee's 'massive mistake' in QPR draw — West Ham United manager Nuno Espirito Santo was left feeling the pain of two penalties after his side missed the chance to go top of the Championship. (ESPN, 2026-10-09)
- Millwall vs. West Ham: English football's most notorious rivalry is back — The latest installment of one of English football's most notorious rivalries will take place this weekend. (ESPN, 2026-10-02)
- West Ham United vs Wrexham: TV channel, how to watch in UK, kick-off time, live stream, team news — Everything you need to know ahead of the EFL Championship match between West Ham United and Wrexham. (ESPN, 2026-10-02)