Swansea City vs Norwich City result: 2-1 as Norwich City were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Swansea City 2-1 Norwich City. We tipped Norwich City at 36.5% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Championship sees Swansea City face Norwich City at Swansea.com Stadium. The model makes Norwich City the favourite, assigning a narrow 36.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Swansea City 33.4%, draw 30.1%, Norwich City 36.5%.
Swansea City have generated 1.46 goals per game (1.08x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.09 conceded per game. Norwich City average 1.71 scored (1.26x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.58 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.9 for Swansea City and 1.2 for Norwich City.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 60.5%), and both teams are likely to score (61.4%).
Verdict: Norwich City to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 36.5% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Mohamed Touré out of Socceroos' Brazil games with injury — Socceroos striker Mohamed Toure requires shoulder surgery and faces months on the sidelines, putting him in doubt for Australia's AFC Asian Cup campaign. (ESPN, 2026-09-23)
- Toure nets again but loses English battle of Socceroos — Mohamed Toure can't stop scoring for Norwich but his first-minute goal against Middlesbrough couldn't stop Riley McGree's high-flying Middlesbrough. (ESPN, 2026-09-14)
- Wrexham boss Parkinson fumes at potential 'leg-breaking' tackle — Wrexham boss Phil Parkinson said Ben Cabango should have been sent off for what could have been a "leg breaking" challenge on Callum O'Hare in his side's stalemate with Swansea. (ESPN, 2026-09-05)
- Swansea City vs Wrexham: TV channel, how to watch in UK, kick-off time, live stream, team news — Everything you need to know ahead of the EFL Championship match between Swansea City and Wrexham. (ESPN, 2026-09-04)
- Hugh Jackman in talks to buy Norwich stake, rival Ryan Reynolds for Premier League push — Hollywood star Hugh Jackman has revealed he is in talks to buy a stake in Norwich. (ESPN, 2026-09-03)
- Norwich boss: 'Madness' not to have VAR in Championship — Norwich head coach Philippe Clement says it is "madness" there is no VAR in the Championship after his side were beaten by a handball goal last weekend. (ESPN, 2026-08-21)