Wigan Athletic vs Bromley prediction: Wigan Athletic to win 1-0 as model gives 54.4% chance
League One sees Wigan Athletic face Bromley at DW Stadium. The model makes Wigan Athletic the favourite, assigning a slight 54.4% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Wigan Athletic 54.4%, draw 24.5%, Bromley 21.1%.
Wigan Athletic have generated 0.81 goals per game (0.60x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.45 conceded per game. Bromley average 0.81 scored (0.60x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.29 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.5 for Wigan Athletic and 0.8 for Bromley.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 59.1%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 44%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-0, with 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Wigan Athletic to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 54.4% confidence. A 1-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Third-longest standing manager in England loses his job — Bromley boss Andy Woodman has left the Sky Bet League One club after his contract was terminated by mutual consent. (ESPN, 2026-10-23)
- FA Cup draw: Leicester to face Oxford City, Wigan vs. Boreham Wood — 2021 winners Leicester City will face Oxford City in the FA Cup first round. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)