Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic result: 2-1 as Oxford United were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Oxford United 2-1 Wigan Athletic. We tipped Oxford United at 55.8% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
League One sees Oxford United face Wigan Athletic at The Kassam Stadium. The model makes Oxford United the favourite, assigning a slight 55.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Oxford United 55.8%, draw 26.2%, Wigan Athletic 18%.
Oxford United have generated 1.96 goals per game (1.47x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.09 conceded per game. Wigan Athletic average 0.80 scored (0.60x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.20 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2 for Oxford United and 0.6 for Wigan Athletic.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 39.3%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 2-0, 1-0, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Oxford United to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 55.8% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- FA Cup draw: Leicester to face Oxford City, Wigan vs. Boreham Wood — 2021 winners Leicester City will face Oxford City in the FA Cup first round. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)
- Oxford United apologize for 'United 93' clothing launch a week after 9/11 anniversary — Oxford United have apologized for the launch of a clothing collection branded "United 93" on the 25th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. (ESPN, 2026-09-18)