Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County result: 0-2 as Stockport County were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Stockport County. We tipped Stockport County at 64% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
League One sees Doncaster Rovers face Stockport County at Eco-Power Stadium. The model makes Stockport County the favourite, assigning a clear 64% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Doncaster Rovers 11.3%, draw 24.7%, Stockport County 64%.
Doncaster Rovers have generated 1.12 goals per game (0.84x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.33 conceded per game. Stockport County average 1.81 scored (1.36x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.17 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.1 for Doncaster Rovers and 1.6 for Stockport County.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both teams are likely to score (55%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 1-1, 1-2, 0-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Stockport County to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 64% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.