Cambridge United vs Wycombe Wanderers result: 2-2 as Cambridge United were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Cambridge United 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers. We tipped Cambridge United at 35.9% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
League One sees Cambridge United face Wycombe Wanderers at Cledara Abbey Stadium. The model makes Cambridge United the favourite, assigning a narrow 35.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Cambridge United 35.9%, draw 29.6%, Wycombe Wanderers 34.6%.
Cambridge United have generated 1.53 goals per game (1.15x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.17 conceded per game. Wycombe Wanderers average 1.51 scored (1.13x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.57 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2 for Cambridge United and 1.2 for Wycombe Wanderers.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 62.5%), and both teams are likely to score (61.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Cambridge United to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 35.9% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.