Burton Albion vs Bradford City result: 0-0 as Bradford City were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Burton Albion 0-0 Bradford City. We tipped Bradford City at 62.8% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
League One sees Burton Albion face Bradford City at Pirelli Stadium. The model makes Bradford City the favourite, assigning a clear 62.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Burton Albion 11.2%, draw 26%, Bradford City 62.8%.
Burton Albion have generated 1.28 goals per game (0.96x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.46 conceded per game. Bradford City average 1.05 scored (0.79x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.80 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.9 for Burton Albion and 1 for Bradford City.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 70.7%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 38.6%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 0-0, 1-1, 0-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Bradford City to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 62.8% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.