Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United result: 1-1 as Sheffield Wednesday were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cambridge United. We tipped Sheffield Wednesday at 46.6% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
League One sees Sheffield Wednesday face Cambridge United at Hillsborough. The model makes Sheffield Wednesday the favourite, assigning a slight 46.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Sheffield Wednesday 46.6%, draw 27.6%, Cambridge United 25.8%.
Sheffield Wednesday have generated 1.77 goals per game (1.32x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.12 conceded per game. Cambridge United average 1.62 scored (1.22x average) and are a steady defence at 1.43 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.1 for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.2 for Cambridge United.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 65.1%), and both teams are likely to score (63.3%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Sheffield Wednesday to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 46.6% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.