Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction: Austria Vienna tipped to edge it (72.1%)

Austrian Bundesliga sees Austria Vienna face Rapid Vienna at Generali-Arena. The model makes Austria Vienna the favourite, assigning a clear 72.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Austria Vienna 72.1%, draw 14.4%, Rapid Vienna 13.5%.

Austria Vienna have generated 1.17 goals per game (0.78x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.83 conceded per game. Rapid Vienna average 2.21 scored (1.47x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.12 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Austria Vienna and 2.4 for Rapid Vienna.

On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 65.9%), and both teams are likely to score (57.7%).

Verdict: Austria Vienna to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 72.1% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.

Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga