RB Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau prediction: RB Salzburg to win 3-0 as model gives 89.9% chance

Austrian Bundesliga sees RB Salzburg face Austria Lustenau at Red Bull Arena Salzburg. The model makes RB Salzburg the favourite, assigning a strong 89.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is RB Salzburg 89.9%, draw 7.2%, Austria Lustenau 3%.

RB Salzburg have generated 2.05 goals per game (1.36x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.86 conceded per game. Austria Lustenau average 1.21 scored (0.81x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.61 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 3.2 for RB Salzburg and 0.6 for Austria Lustenau.

On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 73.3%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 44.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 3-0, with 3-0, 2-0, 4-0 the leading candidates.

Verdict: RB Salzburg to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 89.9% confidence. A 3-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.

Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga