LASK Linz vs RB Salzburg prediction: LASK Linz to win 2-1 as model gives 42.5% chance

Austrian Bundesliga sees LASK Linz face RB Salzburg at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). The model makes LASK Linz the favourite, assigning a narrow 42.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is LASK Linz 42.5%, draw 26.9%, RB Salzburg 30.5%.

LASK Linz have generated 2.28 goals per game (1.53x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.14 conceded per game. RB Salzburg average 1.97 scored (1.32x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.85 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.4 for LASK Linz and 1.4 for RB Salzburg.

On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both teams are likely to score (58.2%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 the leading candidates.

Verdict: LASK Linz to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 42.5% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.

Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga