Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction: Rapid Vienna to win 2-1 as model gives 84.7% chance

Austrian Bundesliga sees Rapid Vienna face TSV Hartberg at Allianz Stadion. The model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite, assigning a strong 84.7% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Rapid Vienna 84.7%, draw 11.1%, TSV Hartberg 4.2%.

Rapid Vienna have generated 1.93 goals per game (1.34x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.14 conceded per game. TSV Hartberg average 1.55 scored (1.08x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.69 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.5 for Rapid Vienna and 1.1 for TSV Hartberg.

On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 70.1%), and both teams are likely to score (62.2%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 2-1, 2-0, 1-1 the leading candidates.

Verdict: Rapid Vienna to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 84.7% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.

Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga