CD Sabadell vs Tenerife prediction: CD Sabadell to win 1-0 as model gives 55.9% chance
LaLiga 2 sees CD Sabadell face Tenerife at Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta. The model makes CD Sabadell the favourite, assigning a slight 55.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is CD Sabadell 55.9%, draw 24.7%, Tenerife 19.4%.
CD Sabadell have generated 1.01 goals per game (0.75x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.83 conceded per game. Tenerife average 1.15 scored (0.86x average) and are a steady defence at 1.42 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.2 for CD Sabadell and 0.6 for Tenerife.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 72.1%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 34.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-0, with 1-0, 0-0, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: CD Sabadell to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 55.9% confidence. A 1-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.