Córdoba vs Eibar prediction: Córdoba tipped to edge it (57.8%)
LaLiga 2 sees Córdoba face Eibar at Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel. The model makes Córdoba the favourite, assigning a slight 57.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Córdoba 57.8%, draw 20.1%, Eibar 22.1%.
Córdoba have generated 1.43 goals per game (1.07x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.73 conceded per game. Eibar average 1.67 scored (1.24x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.02 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.2 for Córdoba and 1.9 for Eibar.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 61.1%), and both teams are likely to score (61.5%).
Verdict: Córdoba to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 57.8% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.