Tenerife vs FC Andorra prediction: Tenerife to win 2-1 as model gives 51.1% chance
LaLiga 2 sees Tenerife face FC Andorra at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. The model makes Tenerife the favourite, assigning a slight 51.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Tenerife 51.1%, draw 24.8%, FC Andorra 24.1%.
Tenerife have generated 1.14 goals per game (0.84x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.38 conceded per game. FC Andorra average 1.45 scored (1.07x average) and are a steady defence at 1.54 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.5 for Tenerife and 1.3 for FC Andorra.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both teams are likely to score (57.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Tenerife to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 51.1% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.