Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 prediction: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win 1-2 as model gives 53.1% chance
2. Bundesliga sees Karlsruher SC face 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 at BBBank Wildpark. The model makes 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 the favourite, assigning a slight 53.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Karlsruher SC 19.2%, draw 27.7%, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 53.1%.
Karlsruher SC have generated 1.40 goals per game (0.94x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.13 conceded per game. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 average 1.63 scored (1.10x average) and are a steady defence at 1.68 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.8 for Karlsruher SC and 2.1 for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 74.3%), and both teams are likely to score (73.8%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 1-1, 1-2, 2-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 53.1% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.