Konyaspor vs Galatasaray prediction: Galatasaray to win 0-1 as model gives 70.4% chance
Super Lig sees Konyaspor face Galatasaray at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu. The model makes Galatasaray the favourite, assigning a clear 70.4% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Konyaspor 8.2%, draw 21.4%, Galatasaray 70.4%.
Konyaspor have generated 0.95 goals per game (0.67x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.14 conceded per game. Galatasaray average 2.12 scored (1.50x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.16 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.9 for Konyaspor and 1.5 for Galatasaray.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 56.4%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (47.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 1-1, 0-1, 0-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Galatasaray to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 70.4% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Post-match chaos sours Victor Osimhen brace in Galatasaray win over Fenerbahce — Victor Osimhen warned of chaos ahead of Monday's Istanbul derby against Fenerbahce, and it duly arrived after the final whistle, as the Nigeria striker scored both goals in Galatasaray's 2-1 victory. (ESPN, 2026-10-27)
- Galatasaray's Victor Osimhen bracing for 'chaos' in Istanbul derby against Fenerbahce — Victor Osimhen is bracing for chaos in Monday's Istanbul derby against Fenerbahce, with the Nigeria striker hoping for a victory that would move Galatasaray six points clear of their rivals in the Turkish Super Lig title race. (ESPN, 2026-10-26)
- Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker on lessons from Harry Kane, and dreams of managing Spurs — Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker is targeting a return to Tottenham Hotspur as manager, and lessons he learned from Harry Kane and Ledley King have been influential in the way he approaches players. (ESPN, 2026-09-08)