Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK prediction: Trabzonspor to win 2-0 as model gives 82.8% chance
Super Lig sees Trabzonspor face Gaziantep FK at Papara Park. The model makes Trabzonspor the favourite, assigning a strong 82.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Trabzonspor 82.8%, draw 13.2%, Gaziantep FK 4%.
Trabzonspor have generated 2.14 goals per game (1.52x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.06 conceded per game. Gaziantep FK average 1.06 scored (0.75x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.74 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 3 for Trabzonspor and 0.7 for Gaziantep FK.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 71%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (49.3%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Trabzonspor to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 82.8% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- 'If Mo Salah scores three...' - Hearts boss on puzzle to mark Trabzonspor star — Wouter Vrancken hailed auxiliary left-back Rogers Mato for the way he stepped into the breach against Mohamed Salah as injury-hit Hearts produced a spirited display in a 2-0 Conference League defeat away to Trabzonspor. (ESPN, 2026-10-23)
- André Onana concedes direct from corner, saves penalty, as Mo Salah scores again — André Onana endured a rollercoaster performance for Trabzonspor on Thursday in the Conference League. (ESPN, 2026-10-16)
- Egypt rest Mohamed Salah for South Sudan qualifier amid artificial pitch concerns — Mohamed Salah will sit out Egypt's Africa Cup of Nations qualifier against South Sudan in Juba on Tuesday due to concerns about the artificial pitch, according to a statement from the Egyptian Football Association. (ESPN, 2026-09-28)
- Mohamed Salah scores first Trabzonspor hat trick in Galatasaray thrashing — Mohamed Salah scored his first hat trick in Trabzonspor colours as they stunned Super Lig leaders Galatasaray 4-0. (ESPN, 2026-09-19)
- Mohamed Salah impresses again for Trabzonspor with goal, assist in 5-0 win — Mohamed Salah continued his impressive start at Trabzonspor in Sunday's 5-0 Süper Lig win over Gençlerbirliği to fuel the club's domestic and European ambitions. (ESPN, 2026-09-07)