Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi prediction: Konyaspor to win 1-0 as model gives 55.3% chance
Super Lig sees Konyaspor face Genclerbirligi at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu. The model makes Konyaspor the favourite, assigning a slight 55.3% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Konyaspor 55.3%, draw 23.9%, Genclerbirligi 20.8%.
Konyaspor have generated 0.87 goals per game (0.62x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.23 conceded per game. Genclerbirligi average 0.95 scored (0.68x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.69 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.2 for Konyaspor and 0.8 for Genclerbirligi.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 69.7%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 38%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-0, with 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Konyaspor to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 55.3% confidence. A 1-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker on lessons from Harry Kane, and dreams of managing Spurs — Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker is targeting a return to Tottenham Hotspur as manager, and lessons he learned from Harry Kane and Ledley King have been influential in the way he approaches players. (ESPN, 2026-09-08)