Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa prediction: Kasimpasa to win 0-2 as model gives 68.5% chance
Super Lig sees Eyupspor face Kasimpasa at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi. The model makes Kasimpasa the favourite, assigning a clear 68.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Eyupspor 8.6%, draw 22.9%, Kasimpasa 68.5%.
Eyupspor have generated 0.73 goals per game (0.52x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.14 conceded per game. Kasimpasa average 1.35 scored (0.96x average) and are a steady defence at 1.34 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.8 for Eyupspor and 1.9 for Kasimpasa.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (47.1%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-1, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Kasimpasa to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 68.5% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.