Amed SFK vs Eyupspor prediction: Amed SFK to win 3-0 as model gives 80.3% chance
Super Lig sees Amed SFK face Eyupspor at Diyarbakir Stadyumu. The model makes Amed SFK the favourite, assigning a strong 80.3% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Amed SFK 80.3%, draw 15%, Eyupspor 4.7%.
Amed SFK have generated 2.20 goals per game (1.56x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.11 conceded per game. Eyupspor average 0.68 scored (0.48x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.06 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 3.2 for Amed SFK and 0.5 for Eyupspor.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 70.9%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 37%). The most probable exact scoreline is 3-0, with 3-0, 2-0, 4-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Amed SFK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 80.3% confidence. A 3-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.