Samsunspor vs Amed SFK prediction: Amed SFK to win 1-2 as model gives 60.4% chance
Super Lig sees Samsunspor face Amed SFK at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium. The model makes Amed SFK the favourite, assigning a clear 60.4% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Samsunspor 16.6%, draw 23%, Amed SFK 60.4%.
Samsunspor have generated 1.15 goals per game (0.82x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.94 conceded per game. Amed SFK average 2.23 scored (1.59x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.12 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Samsunspor and 2.8 for Amed SFK.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 73.1%), and both teams are likely to score (60.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 1-2, 0-2, 1-3 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Amed SFK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 60.4% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.