Goztepe vs Çorum FK prediction: Çorum FK to win 1-2 as model gives 37.7% chance
Super Lig sees Goztepe face Çorum FK at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadi. The model makes Çorum FK the favourite, assigning a narrow 37.7% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Goztepe 35.7%, draw 26.6%, Çorum FK 37.7%.
Goztepe have generated 1.72 goals per game (1.23x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.55 conceded per game. Çorum FK average 2.29 scored (1.63x average) and are a steady defence at 1.54 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.1 for Goztepe and 2.3 for Çorum FK.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 81.4%), and both teams are likely to score (79.6%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 2-2, 1-2, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Çorum FK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 37.7% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.