Çorum FK vs Caykur Rizespor prediction: Çorum FK to win 2-1 as model gives 47.9% chance
Super Lig sees Çorum FK face Caykur Rizespor at Çorum Sehir Stadyumu. The model makes Çorum FK the favourite, assigning a slight 47.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Çorum FK 47.9%, draw 27.9%, Caykur Rizespor 24.2%.
Çorum FK have generated 2.35 goals per game (1.67x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.63 conceded per game. Caykur Rizespor average 1.27 scored (0.90x average) and are a steady defence at 1.50 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.8 for Çorum FK and 1.3 for Caykur Rizespor.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 77.8%), and both teams are likely to score (69.5%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 2-1, 3-1, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Çorum FK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 47.9% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.