Panetolikos vs Olympiacos prediction: Olympiacos to win 0-1 as model gives 80.9% chance
Greek Super League sees Panetolikos face Olympiacos at Panetolikos Stadium. The model makes Olympiacos the favourite, assigning a strong 80.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Panetolikos 3%, draw 16.2%, Olympiacos 80.9%.
Panetolikos have generated 1.07 goals per game (0.84x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.40 conceded per game. Olympiacos average 1.15 scored (0.90x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.47 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.4 for Panetolikos and 1.1 for Olympiacos.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 78.9%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 25.6%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 0-1, 0-0, 0-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Olympiacos to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 80.9% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Sporting KC signs Brazilian André Luiz in club-record deal — Sporting Kansas City has signed Brazilian forward André Luiz as a designated player to a five-year contract for what the Major League Soccer club has called a club-record transfer fee from Greek club Olympiacos. (ESPN, 2026-08-18)