Al Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah result: 0-1 as Al Qadsiah were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Al Taawoun 0-1 Al Qadsiah. We tipped Al Qadsiah at 76.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Saudi Pro League sees Al Taawoun face Al Qadsiah at Al Taawon Club Stadium. The model makes Al Qadsiah the favourite, assigning a strong 76.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Al Taawoun 5.8%, draw 18.1%, Al Qadsiah 76.1%.
Al Taawoun have generated 1.00 goals per game (0.68x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.61 conceded per game. Al Qadsiah average 2.57 scored (1.74x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.00 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.8 for Al Taawoun and 2.5 for Al Qadsiah.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 64%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (50%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-3, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Al Qadsiah to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 76.1% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Saudi Pro League club fined, fans given stadium ban for Diogo Jota chants — Al Taawoun have been ordered to play their next two matches behind closed doors and been fined after the supporters chanted the name of Diogo Jota. (ESPN, 2026-09-16)
- Cristiano Ronaldo calls for lifetime bans after Rúben Neves taunted by Diogo Jota chants — Cristiano Ronaldo has called on the Saudi Pro League to issue lifetime stadium bans to any supporter found to have been involved in the taunting of Ruben Neves. (ESPN, 2026-09-16)