Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves result: 106-131 as Miami Heat were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Miami Heat 106-131 Minnesota Timberwolves. We tipped Miami Heat at 56.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
NBA sees Miami Heat face Minnesota Timberwolves at Kaseya Center. The model makes Miami Heat the favourite, assigning a slight 56.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Miami Heat 56.1%, draw 0%, Minnesota Timberwolves 43.9%.
Form guides this call: Miami Heat are winning at a 52% clip against Minnesota Timberwolves's 60%, before home advantage is applied. The projected line is Miami Heat 1.4 – 1.3 Minnesota Timberwolves, based on each team's scoring and concession averages this season blended with prior form.
Verdict: Miami Heat to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 56.1% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- LaMelo Ball obviously traveled on way to 3-pointer, NBA refs confirm — The association that represents NBA referees confirmed that LaMelo Ball took two steps too many and traveled in a widely seen clip from Wednesday night's win over Miami. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo says Heat need to trust each other more after blowout loss — Following an opening night blowout loss to the Timberwolves, Giannis Antetokounmpo preached trust as the primary area that needs improvement for the new-look Heat. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- Anthony Edwards joins Chamberlain, Jordan after dropping 40 in another opener — Anthony Edwards joined legends Wilt Chamberlain and Michael Jordan as the only players in NBA history with multiple 40-point games in season openers. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- The Anthony Edwards-LaMelo Ball partnership opens with chemistry and hope — The new LaMelo Ball-Anthony Edwards backcourt opens the season with a lot of flash and a renewed joy in Minnesota. (ESPN, 2026-10-21)
- NBA championship and MVP odds: Spurs, Thunder tied entering season; Wemby ahead of SGA — Each team's odds to win the NBA title, conference and division, plus MVP odds. (ESPN, 2026-10-20)
- Timberwolves agree to 1-year, $40M extension with Jaden McDaniels — The Timberwolves and forward Jaden McDaniels agreed to a one-year, $40 million extension that will keep him under contract through 2029-30. (ESPN, 2026-10-20)