Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks result: 128-110 as Houston Rockets were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Houston Rockets 128-110 Dallas Mavericks. We tipped Houston Rockets at 63.6% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
NBA sees Houston Rockets face Dallas Mavericks at Toyota Center (Houston). The model makes Houston Rockets the favourite, assigning a clear 63.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Houston Rockets 63.6%, draw 0%, Dallas Mavericks 36.4%.
Form guides this call: Houston Rockets are winning at a 63% clip against Dallas Mavericks's 32%, before home advantage is applied. The projected line is Houston Rockets 1.4 – 1.3 Dallas Mavericks, based on each team's scoring and concession averages this season blended with prior form.
Verdict: Houston Rockets to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 63.6% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Kyrie Irving hounded by Rockets in return, held in check in Mavs' blowout loss — With the Rockets focused on trapping him, Kyrie Irving was held to 15 points in his first regular-season game since March 2025 and the Mavs fell 128-110. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- Sources: Mavericks agree to two-way deal with Walter Clayton Jr. — The Mavericks agree to a two-way NBA deal with former first-round pick Walter Clayton Jr., sources told ESPN. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- Rockets' Tari Eason ejected after shoving Mavericks' P.J. Washington in back — Rockets reserve forward Tari Eason was ejected in the first quarter Wednesday night after shoving Mavericks forward P.J. Washington in the back. (ESPN, 2026-10-22)
- NBA championship and MVP odds: Spurs, Thunder tied entering season; Wemby ahead of SGA — Each team's odds to win the NBA title, conference and division, plus MVP odds. (ESPN, 2026-10-20)
- How to Watch the NBA in Australia 2026-27 | ESPN on Disney+ — Watch the 2026-27 NBA season live on ESPN via Disney+. Opening week schedule in AEDT, prices, Prime Video, League Pass and every Aussie in the NBA. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)
- 2026-27 NBA season preview: Rankings, predictions, odds — Here's everything you need to know for all 30 NBA teams for the season, including storylines, stats and predictions ahead of opening night. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)