AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava result: 4-0 as AS Roma were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: AS Roma 4-0 Slovan Bratislava. We tipped AS Roma at 91.5% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Champions League sees AS Roma face Slovan Bratislava at Olimpico. The model makes AS Roma the favourite, assigning a strong 91.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is AS Roma 91.5%, draw 5.6%, Slovan Bratislava 2.9%.
AS Roma have generated 2.11 goals per game (1.11x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.67 conceded per game. Slovan Bratislava average 0.47 scored (0.30x average) and are a leaky defence at 4.29 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 3.2 for AS Roma and 0.7 for Slovan Bratislava.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 74.8%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (49.8%). The most probable exact scoreline is 3-0, with 3-0, 2-0, 4-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: AS Roma to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 91.5% confidence. A 3-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.