Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague result: 2-2 as Fenerbahce were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Fenerbahce 2-2 Slavia Prague. We tipped Fenerbahce at 79% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Champions League sees Fenerbahce face Slavia Prague at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. The model makes Fenerbahce the favourite, assigning a strong 79% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Fenerbahce 79%, draw 12.8%, Slavia Prague 8.2%.
Fenerbahce have generated 0.44 goals per game (0.30x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 3.78 conceded per game. Slavia Prague average 0.83 scored (0.44x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.51 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.8 for Fenerbahce and 1.5 for Slavia Prague.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 59%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (45.5%).
Verdict: Fenerbahce to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 79% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Saudi Arabia of Europe? How Türkiye's summer transfer window changed the game — Turkish clubs compete for prestige through the transfer market and this summer took things to yet another level as Mo Salah, Rafael Leão and other big names arrived. (ESPN, 2026-10-13)