Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian result: 2-0 as Trabzonspor were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Trabzonspor 2-0 Heart of Midlothian. We tipped Trabzonspor at 81.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Conference League sees Trabzonspor face Heart of Midlothian at Papara Park. The model makes Trabzonspor the favourite, assigning a strong 81.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Trabzonspor 81.1%, draw 13%, Heart of Midlothian 5.9%.
Trabzonspor have generated 4.00 goals per game (2.50x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.00 conceded per game. Heart of Midlothian average 1.00 scored (0.74x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.00 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.8 for Trabzonspor and 1.3 for Heart of Midlothian.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 78.3%), and both teams are likely to score (70%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 2-1, 3-1, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Trabzonspor to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 81.1% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.