Kauno Zalgiris vs SK Brann result: 1-4 as SK Brann were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: Kauno Zalgiris 1-4 SK Brann. We tipped SK Brann at 64.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Conference League sees Kauno Zalgiris face SK Brann at S. Darius and S. Gireno Stadium. The model makes SK Brann the favourite, assigning a clear 64.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Kauno Zalgiris 14.9%, draw 21%, SK Brann 64.1%.
Kauno Zalgiris have generated 0.00 goals per game (0.30x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 4.00 conceded per game. SK Brann average 2.00 scored (1.48x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.00 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.3 for Kauno Zalgiris and 3.2 for SK Brann.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 68.4%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 27.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-3, with 0-3, 0-2, 0-4 the leading candidates.
Verdict: SK Brann to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 64.1% confidence. A 0-3 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.