Red Star Belgrade vs F.C. København result: 2-2 as Red Star Belgrade were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Red Star Belgrade 2-2 F.C. København. We tipped Red Star Belgrade at 55% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Conference League sees Red Star Belgrade face F.C. København at Rajko Mitic Stadium. The model makes Red Star Belgrade the favourite, assigning a slight 55% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Red Star Belgrade 55%, draw 19.2%, F.C. København 25.8%.
Red Star Belgrade have generated 2.00 goals per game (1.48x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 3.00 conceded per game. F.C. København average 3.00 scored (2.22x average) and are yet to concede. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.7 for Red Star Belgrade and 3.2 for F.C. København.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 74.2%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (47.6%).
Verdict: Red Star Belgrade to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 55% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Red Star Belgrade supporters display tifo of war criminal Ratko Mladić before local derby — Supporters of Serbian side Red Star Belgrade displayed a tifo of convicted war criminal Ratko Mladić before and during their league match against local rivals Partisan Belgrade. (ESPN, 2026-09-07)