AI Prediction
Model hit rate 55.4%

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction: Daniil Medvedev narrow favourite at 51.9%

ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters · Shanghai, China PR · Kick-off: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 04:00 UTC · Prediction: D. Medvedev to win (51.9%) · Daniil Medvedev team page · Tommy Paul team page

Daniil Medvedev is our pick at 51.9% to beat Tommy Paul in the quarterfinal of the Rolex Shanghai Masters.

Daniil Medvedev is world No. 5 and Tommy Paul is world No. 15. On hard courts our ratings put Daniil Medvedev at 1919 and Tommy Paul at 1902.

Daniil Medvedev has won 5 of 6 recent matches in our records, and Tommy Paul has won 4 of 6 recent matches in our records. On hard since 2024 (latest 30 matches): Daniil Medvedev 21-9, Tommy Paul 22-8.

They have met 3 times since 2024 in our data, with Daniil Medvedev winning 2 and Tommy Paul 1. The latest was at the BNP Paribas Open, won by Daniil Medvedev.

More predictions · ATP Rolex Shanghai Masters