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Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur prediction: Alex de Minaur tipped to win (70.9%)

ATP Erste Bank Open · Centre Court, Vienna, Austria · Kick-off: Mon, 26 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC · Prediction: A. de Minaur to win (70.9%) · Tomas Machac team page · Alex de Minaur team page

Alex de Minaur is our pick at 70.9% to beat Tomas Machac in round 1 of the Erste Bank Open.

Tomas Machac is unranked in ESPN's list and Alex de Minaur is world No. 5. On hard courts our ratings put Tomas Machac at 1692 and Alex de Minaur at 1886.

Tomas Machac has won 3 of 6 recent matches in our records, and Alex de Minaur has won 4 of 6 recent matches in our records. On hard since 2024 (latest 30 matches): Tomas Machac 13-17, Alex de Minaur 19-11.

They have met 1 time since 2024 in our data, with Tomas Machac winning 0 and Alex de Minaur 1. The latest was at the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, won by Alex de Minaur.

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