AI Prediction
Model hit rate 56%

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction: Carlos Alcaraz strongly favoured at 77.8%

ATP Erste Bank Open · Centre Court, Vienna, Austria · Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC · Prediction: C. Alcaraz to win (77.8%) · Tommy Paul team page · Carlos Alcaraz team page

Carlos Alcaraz is our pick at 77.8% to beat Tommy Paul in the quarterfinal of the Erste Bank Open.

Tommy Paul is world No. 7 and Carlos Alcaraz is world No. 2. On hard courts our ratings put Tommy Paul at 1904 and Carlos Alcaraz at 2177.

Tommy Paul has won 4 of 6 recent matches in our records, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 of 6 recent matches in our records. On hard since 2024 (latest 30 matches): Tommy Paul 22-8, Carlos Alcaraz 26-4.

They have met 5 times since 2024 in our data, with Tommy Paul winning 0 and Carlos Alcaraz 5. The latest was at the US Open, won by Carlos Alcaraz.

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