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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction: Carlos Alcaraz tipped to win (72.9%)

ATP Erste Bank Open · Centre Court, Vienna, Austria · Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC · Prediction: C. Alcaraz to win (72.9%) · Daniil Medvedev team page · Carlos Alcaraz team page

Carlos Alcaraz is our pick at 72.9% to beat Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open.

Daniil Medvedev is world No. 3 and Carlos Alcaraz is world No. 2. On hard courts our ratings put Daniil Medvedev at 1968 and Carlos Alcaraz at 2182.

Daniil Medvedev has won 6 of 6 recent matches in our records, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 of 6 recent matches in our records. On hard since 2024 (latest 30 matches): Daniil Medvedev 23-7, Carlos Alcaraz 26-4.

They have met 4 times since 2024 in our data, with Daniil Medvedev winning 1 and Carlos Alcaraz 3. The latest was at the BNP Paribas Open, won by Daniil Medvedev.

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