Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction: Carlos Alcaraz strongly favoured at 76.2%
Carlos Alcaraz is our pick at 76.2% to beat Alex de Minaur in the final of the Erste Bank Open.
Alex de Minaur is world No. 5 and Carlos Alcaraz is world No. 2. On hard courts our ratings put Alex de Minaur at 1936 and Carlos Alcaraz at 2190.
Alex de Minaur has won 5 of 6 recent matches in our records, and Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 of 6 recent matches in our records. On hard since 2024 (latest 30 matches): Alex de Minaur 21-9, Carlos Alcaraz 26-4.
They have met 4 times since 2024 in our data, with Alex de Minaur winning 0 and Carlos Alcaraz 4. The latest was at the Australian Open, won by Carlos Alcaraz.