Champions League predictions for 3 November 2026: every match previewed

9 Champions League fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 3 clear favourites, 6 games the model calls close.

9 Champions League matches are scheduled between Tuesday, 3 November 2026 and Tuesday, 3 November 2026. The model makes 3 of them clear favourites at 65% or better and sees the rest as open. The headline fixture is Atlético Madrid against Bayern Munich, and the full list with a verdict on each is below in kick-off order.

Headline fixture

Atlético Madrid17.9%vBayern Munich54.6%Bayern to win · 54.6%

Bayern Munich are a narrow favourite at 54.6% (draw 27.5%, Atlético Madrid 17.9%). Expected goals come out at 1.7 for Atlético Madrid and 1.9 for Bayern Munich, with 1-2 the most likely exact score. The numbers lean to Over 2.5 goals (68.8%), and both teams to score is likely at 70%. Form: Atlético Madrid WDWWW, Bayern Munich WDWDD (most recent first). Team news worth a look before kick-off: "What it takes to win a Ballon d'Or: Trophies, goals and playing the PR game".

Every fixture

Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 17:45 UTC

Galatasaray to win at 50.1%, Over 2.5 at 65%. Form: Galatasaray WWWLW, Stuttgart LDLWW. Full preview

Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 17:45 UTC

Sporting CP to win at 57.6%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 30.9%. Form: Shakhtar LWDLW, Sporting LLWWD. Full preview

Atlético Madrid v Bayern Munich, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Bayern Munich to win at 54.6%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 68.8%. Form: Atlético WDWWW, Bayern WDWDD. Full preview

Barcelona v Aston Villa, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Barcelona to win at 91.8%, Over 2.5 at 87%. Form: Barcelona LLWWW, Aston Villa WWWWD. Full preview

Bodo/Glimt v Lille, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt to win at 52.6%, most likely score 3-1, Over 2.5 at 84.1%. Form: Bodo/Glimt LLWWW, Lille DLDLW. Full preview

Feyenoord Rotterdam v Internazionale, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Internazionale to win at 62.8%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 63.7%. Form: Feyenoord DLWWW, Inter Milan WWWWL. Full preview

LASK Linz v Slovan Bratislava, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

LASK Linz to win at 70.7%, most likely score 3-0, Over 2.5 at 76.7%. Form: LASK Linz LWWLL, S Bratislava LLLLL. Full preview

Manchester United v AS Roma, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Manchester United to win at 44.8%, Over 2.5 at 80.2%. Form: Man Utd LLDLD, AS Roma WDWWL. Full preview

Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 20:00 UTC

Paris Saint-Germain to win at 66%, most likely score 1-3, Over 2.5 at 88%. Form: Villarreal WLDWL, PSG WWWWW. Full preview

A note on the numbers

Champions League probabilities come from two seasons of results through a Dixon-Coles goals model, blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices. Every pick is locked at kick-off and added to the public track record.