Falkirk vs Celtic prediction: Celtic to win 0-2 as model gives 71.9% chance
Scottish Premiership sees Falkirk face Celtic at Falkirk Stadium. The model makes Celtic the favourite, assigning a clear 71.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Falkirk 7.5%, draw 20.6%, Celtic 71.9%.
Falkirk have generated 1.33 goals per game (0.93x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.39 conceded per game. Celtic average 2.33 scored (1.63x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.94 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Falkirk and 2 for Celtic.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 58%), and both teams are likely to score (55.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 1-1, 0-2, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Celtic to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 71.9% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
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- Rangers' Ryan Naderi downs Celtic in Old Firm Derby — Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers defeated Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park on Sunday. (ESPN, 2026-09-20)
- Celtic vs. Rangers - Kick-off time, how to watch Olwethu Makhanya in South Africa on ESPN and Disney+ — In a rematch of last Sunday's Old Firm Premier Sports Cup clash, Celtic will face Rangers again this Sunday - this time in the Scottish Premiership at Celtic Park. (ESPN, 2026-09-18)
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