Hibernian vs Celtic prediction: Celtic to win 0-2 as model gives 69.6% chance
Scottish Premiership sees Hibernian face Celtic at Easter Road. The model makes Celtic the favourite, assigning a clear 69.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Hibernian 9.2%, draw 21.2%, Celtic 69.6%.
Hibernian have generated 1.22 goals per game (0.84x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.35 conceded per game. Celtic average 2.39 scored (1.65x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.86 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.8 for Hibernian and 2 for Celtic.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (49.1%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-1, 1-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Celtic to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 69.6% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
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- Celtic condemn protest after tennis balls thrown at owner — Celtic have condemned the protest which saw tennis balls thrown towards principal shareholder Dermot Desmond during his visit to the Alfred Dunhill Links golf tournament at St Andrews. (ESPN, 2026-10-04)
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- Celtic 0-1 Rangers: Ryan Naderi gives visitors second derby win in a week - as it happened — Rangers claimed their second Old Firm derby win in a week as Ryan Naderi's goal claimed three points at Celtic. (ESPN, 2026-09-20)
- Rangers' Ryan Naderi downs Celtic in Old Firm Derby — Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers defeated Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park on Sunday. (ESPN, 2026-09-20)
- Celtic vs. Rangers - Kick-off time, how to watch Olwethu Makhanya in South Africa on ESPN and Disney+ — In a rematch of last Sunday's Old Firm Premier Sports Cup clash, Celtic will face Rangers again this Sunday - this time in the Scottish Premiership at Celtic Park. (ESPN, 2026-09-18)
Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Scottish Premiership