Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction: Ipswich Town narrow favourites at 40%
Premier League sees Hull City face Ipswich Town at The MKM Stadium. The model makes Ipswich Town the favourite, assigning a narrow 40% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Hull City 27.2%, draw 32.8%, Ipswich Town 40%.
Hull City have generated 1.10 goals per game (0.80x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.06 conceded per game. Ipswich Town average 1.45 scored (1.05x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.98 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.8 for Hull City and 1 for Ipswich Town.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (53.9%).
Verdict: Ipswich Town to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 40% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
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