Levante vs Athletic Club result: 3-1 as Athletic Club were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Levante 3-1 Athletic Club. We tipped Athletic Club at 49.2% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
La Liga sees Levante face Athletic Club at Estadi Ciutat de València. The model makes Athletic Club the favourite, assigning a slight 49.2% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Levante 21.3%, draw 29.5%, Athletic Club 49.2%.
Levante have generated 1.43 goals per game (0.99x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.77 conceded per game. Athletic Club average 1.02 scored (0.71x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.16 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.3 for Levante and 1.1 for Athletic Club.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 56.6%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (50.5%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 1-1, 0-0, 1-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Athletic Club to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 49.2% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Socceroos stalwart axed for Brazil series — Captain Maty Ryan has been left out of the Socceroos squad altogether for upcoming games against Brazil, while coach Tony Popovic has called up seven uncapped players for Australia's first matches since the World Cup. (ESPN, 2026-09-18)
- Barcelona boss Hansi Flick: 'Not our best game' despite 4-2 win at Levante — Hansi Flick said Barcelona were not at their best after surviving a scare before beating Levante 4-2 on Sunday in LaLiga to continue their perfect start to the season. (ESPN, 2026-09-13)
- Athletic Club's Iñaki Williams retires from Ghana duty — Ghana forward Iñaki Williams announced on Friday he is retiring from international football. (ESPN, 2026-09-11)
- Atlético Madrid 'need' Julián Álvarez's goals - Marcos Llorente — Marcos Llorente told ESPN that Atletico Madrid need Julián Álvarez to start scoring after the team suffered a shock 3-0 defeat at Athletic Club in LaLiga on Saturday. (ESPN, 2026-09-05)