FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich result: 2-2 as Bayern Munich were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich. We tipped Bayern Munich at 80% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Bayern Munich enter as strong favourites against an Augsburg side that sits fourth after four matches.
Bayern Munich travel to the WWK Arena as strong favourites after collecting ten points from their opening four Bundesliga fixtures. Their record of three wins and one draw leaves them a point behind the leaders, with an attacking output that has produced twelve goals already.
FC Augsburg sit fourth on seven points from the same number of games. Two wins, one draw and one defeat give them a solid start, yet the gap in recent results between the sides is clear.
Recent records and league position
Augsburg have taken points from three of their last five league outings, though the most recent ended in defeat. Bayern have lost none of their last five and collected four wins in that span, underlining a consistency that has carried them into second place.
The two clubs have met four times in recent seasons, with Bayern winning three and Augsburg one. Those encounters produced an average of 3.75 goals and saw both teams score in three of the four.
Team news and selection
Line-ups remain unconfirmed at this stage. No fresh injury details have emerged for either squad ahead of the weekend fixture.
Bayern continue to monitor several transfer targets, but those developments have no direct bearing on the matchday squad. Augsburg have no reported changes to their available group.
Expected goals and market indicators
Our numbers project Augsburg to score 1.1 expected goals and Bayern 3.0. The most likely exact score is 1-3, followed by 1-2 and 0-3.
Over 2.5 goals carries a probability of 78.5 per cent. Both teams to score is rated at 65.1 per cent. Bookmaker lines from ESPN align closely, implying an 84.6 per cent chance of a Bayern win. The Elo rating difference of 239 points in Bayern's favour further supports that assessment.
Bayern Munich to win stands as the pick at 84.3 per cent . Their superior expected goal difference supplies the clearest edge. An Augsburg clean sheet would represent the likeliest upset route, though the projection gives them only a 15.7 per cent chance of avoiding defeat. Markets on total goals reinforce the view that the game will produce three or more scores.
Reporting referenced: Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports.
Team news
- Jamal Musiala will 'fight his way back' from injury - Bayern Munich boss Vincent Kompany — Vincent Kompany has backed Bayern Munich playmaker Jamal Musiala to overcome his latest injury setback after he was hurt on international duty with Germany. (ESPN, 2026-10-09)
- Harry Kane contract talks with Bayern Munich 'very positive' - sporting director — Bayern Munich sporting director Christoph Freund insisted there has been no significant change in contract talks with Harry Kane but said he is "very positive" about discussions with the England captain. (ESPN, 2026-10-09)
- Harry Kane interest in MLS 'fulfilment of a dream' - commissioner — MLS commissioner Don Garber would love Harry Kane to follow Lionel Messi across the pond and says the England skipper's interest helps fulfil a dream that Sir David Beckham kept alive. (ESPN, 2026-10-08)
- Harry Kane reaches new milestones in landmark England outing — Harry Kane scored twice to take his international goal tally to 91 as he made a record-tying 125th England appearance in Tuesday's 3-0 win over Czechia at Wembley. (ESPN, 2026-10-07)
- Harry Kane is England's greatest ever player - Jude Bellingham — Jude Bellingham has called Harry Kane "the greatest player that has ever played for England" after the striker became the country's joint-record appearance maker. (ESPN, 2026-10-07)
- Harry Kane's England milestones: From his first cap to becoming all-time record goalscorer — Harry Kane has made plenty of history in his England career so far and seemingly has every intention of playing for his country as long as he can. (ESPN, 2026-10-07)