Besiktas vs Crystal Palace result: 2-2 as Besiktas were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Besiktas 2-2 Crystal Palace. We tipped Besiktas at 40.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Europa League sees Besiktas face Crystal Palace at Vodafone Park. The model makes Besiktas the favourite, assigning a narrow 40.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Besiktas 40.1%, draw 26.4%, Crystal Palace 33.5%.
Besiktas have generated 3.40 goals per game (2.40x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.55 conceded per game. Crystal Palace average 2.91 scored (2.05x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.64 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 3.2 for Besiktas and 2.9 for Crystal Palace.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 94%), and both teams are likely to score (90.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 3-2, with 3-2, 3-3, 2-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Besiktas to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 40.1% confidence. A 3-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace: Diego Gómez scores from halfway line in emphatic win - as it happened — Brighton tormented M23 rivals Crystal Palace with a 5-0 victory at the Amex. (ESPN, 2026-10-18)
- Fabian Hürzeler tells Brighton fans: Have a beer and don't look at Premier League table — Fabian Hürzeler has told Brighton & Hove Albion fans to "enjoy a beer" and not look at the Premier League table to celebrate their win over Crystal Palace. (ESPN, 2026-10-18)
- Brighton vs. Crystal Palace: Unique Premier League rivalry returns with a new edge — Brighton and Crystal Palace's clash at the Amex on Sunday marks a new chapter in their rivalry (ESPN, 2026-10-17)