Europa League predictions
18 upcoming Europa League fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.
- AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win 1-0 as model gives 91% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Stade Rennais vs OFI Crete prediction: Stade Rennais to win 1-0 as model gives 89.6% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win 1-0 as model gives 85.6% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Benfica vs Celtic prediction: Benfica to win 3-0 as model gives 82.4% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win 0-3 as model gives 79.4% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok to win 2-1 as model gives 78.3% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom prediction: Sparta Prague to win 3-0 as model gives 77.8% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Torreense vs Sunderland prediction: Sunderland to win 0-1 as model gives 74% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas prediction: TSG Hoffenheim tipped to edge it (61.7%) — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia prediction: NEC Nijmegen tipped to edge it (59.1%) — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- RB Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction: AC Milan tipped to edge it (58.8%) — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction: Juventus to win 0-2 as model gives 55.7% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Marseille vs Olympiacos prediction: Marseille tipped to edge it (55%) — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win 1-0 as model gives 51.2% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction: Lyon narrow favourites at 50.5% — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen prediction: Ferencvaros to win 2-0 as model gives 47.7% chance — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
- NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction: NK Celje narrow favourites at 43% — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
- Union St.-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction: draw the most likely outcome in a tight contest (36.4%) — Europa League, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC
How to read these Europa League previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.